── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Otto Virtanen 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Otto Virtanen
Luca Nardi
65%35%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 47% / 53%
Grass: 91% / 9%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Otto Virtanen
52th · average
Luca Nardi
9th · poor
Return
Otto Virtanen
24th · below avg
Luca Nardi
34th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#116
model rank
#174
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FIN
country
ITA
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Otto Virtanen■ Luca Nardi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | Wimbledon | Grass | Q2 | Otto Virtanen | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2026-01-27 | Manama CH | Hard | SF | Luca Nardi | 7-6(6) 6-2 |