── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Sebastian Baez 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Chun Hsin Tseng
Sebastian Baez
29%71%
Hard: 26% / 74%
Clay: 35% / 65%
Grass: 27% / 73%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Chun Hsin Tseng
9th · poor
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Return
Chun Hsin Tseng
27th · below avg
Sebastian Baez
85th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#156
model rank
#77
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
TPE
country
ARG
175cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Chun Hsin TsengSebastian Baez
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard01
Clay11
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardR128Sebastian Baez6-3 6-2
2025-02-17Rio de JaneiroClayQFSebastian Baez6-4 6-1
2020-11-23Sao Paulo CHClayR32Chun Hsin Tseng6-3 3-6 6-4