── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jenson Brooksby
Tommy Paul
24%76%
Hard: 26% / 74%
Clay: 10% / 90%
Grass: 32% / 68%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jenson Brooksby
27th · below avg
Tommy Paul
81th · strong
Return
Jenson Brooksby
84th · strong
Tommy Paul
95th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#86
model rank
#16
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jenson Brooksby■ Tommy Paul
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–4
Clay1–0
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Dallas | Hard | R32 | Tommy Paul | 4-6 6-4 7-6(4) |
| 2025-03-31 | Houston | Clay | SF | Jenson Brooksby | 7-6(5) 3-6 7-6(6) |
| 2025-02-03 | Dallas | Hard | R32 | Tommy Paul | 6-7(6) 6-3 6-4 |
| 2023-01-16 | Australian Open | Hard | R32 | Tommy Paul | 6-1 6-4 6-3 |
| 2022-08-15 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Tommy Paul | 6-3 6-2 |