── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexei Popyrin 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jenson Brooksby
Alexei Popyrin
37%63%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 20% / 80%
Grass: 73% / 27%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jenson Brooksby
17th · poor
Alexei Popyrin
74th · strong
Return
Jenson Brooksby
65th · average
Alexei Popyrin
32th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#129
model rank
#75
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
AUS
188cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jenson Brooksby■ Alexei Popyrin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R128 | Jenson Brooksby | 6-3 6-4 |