── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Holger Rune 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jenson Brooksby
Holger Rune
18%82%
Hard: 19% / 81%
Clay: 8% / 92%
Grass: 58% / 42%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jenson Brooksby
17th · poor
Holger Rune
76th · strong
Return
Jenson Brooksby
65th · average
Holger Rune
86th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#129
model rank
#20
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
DEN
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jenson BrooksbyHolger Rune
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-24TokyoHardQFJenson Brooksby6-3 6-3