── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jesper De Jong 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Thiago Seyboth Wild
Jesper De Jong
25%75%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 21% / 79%
Grass: 48% / 52%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Thiago Seyboth Wild
37th · below avg
Jesper De Jong
32th · below avg
Return
Thiago Seyboth Wild
9th · poor
Jesper De Jong
44th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#170
model rank
#84
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BRA
country
NED
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Thiago Seyboth WildJesper De Jong
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-05-07Rome MastersClayQ2Thiago Seyboth Wild7-6(5) 6-4