── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jannik Sinner 98% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jannik Sinner
Adrian Mannarino
98%2%
Hard: 98% / 2%
Clay: 99% / 1%
Grass: 86% / 14%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Adrian Mannarino
22th · below avg
Return
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Adrian Mannarino
56th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#1
model rank
#130
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
FRA
191cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jannik Sinner■ Adrian Mannarino
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard4–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R16 | Jannik Sinner | 6-4 7-6(4) |
| 2023-03-06 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R32 | Jannik Sinner | 7-6(7) 6-4 |
| 2022-08-08 | Canada Masters | Hard | R32 | Jannik Sinner | 2-6 6-4 6-2 |
| 2020-11-09 | Sofia | Hard | SF | Jannik Sinner | 6-3 7-5 |