── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jannik Sinner 97% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jannik Sinner
Marin Cilic
97%3%
Hard: 96% / 4%
Clay: 96% / 4%
Grass: 69% / 31%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Marin Cilic
81th · strong
Return
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Marin Cilic
47th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#1
model rank
#70
Hard
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
CRO
191cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jannik Sinner■ Marin Cilic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-25 | Beijing | Hard | R32 | Jannik Sinner | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2021-11-29 | Davis Cup Finals QF: ITA vs CRO | Hard | RR | Jannik Sinner | 3-6 7-6(4) 6-3 |