── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jannik Sinner 95% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jannik Sinner
Grigor Dimitrov
95%5%
Hard: 94% / 6%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 79% / 21%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Grigor Dimitrov
87th · strong
Return
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Grigor Dimitrov
80th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#1
model rank
#41
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
BUL
191cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jannik Sinner■ Grigor Dimitrov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Clay1–1
Hard3–0
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | R16 | Jannik Sinner | 3-6 5-7 2-2 RET |
| 2024-05-27 | Roland Garros | Clay | QF | Jannik Sinner | 6-2 6-4 7-6(3) |
| 2024-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | F | Jannik Sinner | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2023-09-27 | Beijing | Hard | QF | Jannik Sinner | 6-4 3-6 6-2 |
| 2023-03-20 | Miami Masters | Hard | R32 | Jannik Sinner | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2020-09-14 | Rome Masters | Clay | R16 | Grigor Dimitrov | 4-6 6-4 6-4 |