── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jannik Sinner 98% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jannik Sinner
Damir Dzumhur
98%2%
Hard: 98% / 2%
Clay: 96% / 4%
Grass: 97% / 3%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Damir Dzumhur
5th · poor
Return
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Damir Dzumhur
69th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#1
model rank
#134
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
BIH
191cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jannik SinnerDamir Dzumhur
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-18Miami MastersHardR64Jannik Sinner6-3 6-3