Jannik SinnerJannik Sinner
10–7
head to head
Daniil MedvedevDaniil Medvedev
── the model's take · model grid · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jannik Sinner 86% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jannik Sinner
Daniil Medvedev
86%15%
Hard: 84% / 16%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 78% / 22%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Daniil Medvedev
78th · strong
Return
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Daniil Medvedev
99th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#1
model rank
#5
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
RUS
191cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Jannik Sinner■ Daniil Medvedev
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
Hard9–6
Grass0–1
── 17 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-06Rome MastersClaySFJannik Sinner6-2 5-7 6-4
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardFJannik Sinner7-6(6) 7-6(4)
2024-11-11Tour FinalsHardRRJannik Sinner6-3 6-4
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersHardQFJannik Sinner6-1 6-4
2024-08-26Us OpenHardQFJannik Sinner6-2 1-6 6-1 6-4
2024-07-01WimbledonGrassQFDaniil Medvedev6-7(7) 6-4 7-6(4) 2-6 6-3
2024-03-18Miami MastersHardSFJannik Sinner6-1 6-2
2024-01-15Australian OpenHardFJannik Sinner3-6 3-6 6-4 6-4 6-3
2023-11-13Tour FinalsHardSFJannik Sinner6-3 6-7(4) 6-1
2023-10-23ViennaHardFJannik Sinner7-6(7) 4-6 6-3
2023-09-27BeijingHardFJannik Sinner7-6(2) 7-6(2)
2023-03-20Miami MastersHardFDaniil Medvedev7-5 6-3
2023-02-13RotterdamHardFDaniil Medvedev5-7 6-2 6-2
2022-10-24ViennaHardQFDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-2
2021-11-15Tour FinalsHardRRDaniil Medvedev6-0 6-7(5) 7-6(8)
2021-03-08MarseilleHardQFDaniil Medvedev6-2 6-4
2020-02-17MarseilleHardR16Daniil Medvedev1-6 6-1 6-2