── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jannik Sinner 98% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jannik Sinner
Nicolas Jarry
98%2%
Hard: 99% / 1%
Clay: 94% / 6%
Grass: 90% / 10%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Nicolas Jarry
81th · strong
Return
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Nicolas Jarry
12th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#1
model rank
#126
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
CHI
191cm
height
201cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jannik Sinner■ Nicolas Jarry
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
Grass0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Jannik Sinner | 7-6(2) 7-6(5) 6-1 |
| 2024-09-26 | Beijing | Hard | R32 | Jannik Sinner | 4-6 6-3 6-1 |
| 2019-06-10 | s Hertogenbosch | Grass | R32 | Nicolas Jarry | 7-6(4) 6-3 |