── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jannik Sinner 94% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jannik Sinner
Cameron Norrie
94%6%
Hard: 95% / 5%
Clay: 88% / 12%
Grass: 84% / 16%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Cameron Norrie
64th · average
Return
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Cameron Norrie
70th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#1
model rank
#36
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
GBR
191cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jannik Sinner■ Cameron Norrie
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R16 | Jannik Sinner | 6-2 7-5 |