── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jannik Sinner 99% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jannik Sinner
Daniel Elahi Galan
99%1%
Hard: 99% / 1%
Clay: 98% / 2%
Grass: 96% / 4%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Daniel Elahi Galan
17th · poor
Return
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Daniel Elahi Galan
16th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#1
model rank
#161
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
COL
191cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jannik SinnerDaniel Elahi Galan
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
Grass10
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersHardR64Jannik Sinner6-1 6-1
2023-07-03WimbledonGrassR16Jannik Sinner7-6(4) 6-4 6-3
2021-11-27Davis Cup Finals RR: ITA vs COLHardRRJannik Sinner7-5 6-0