── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jannik Sinner 97% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jannik Sinner
Benjamin Bonzi
97%3%
Hard: 97% / 3%
Clay: 97% / 3%
Grass: 92% / 8%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Benjamin Bonzi
51th · average
Return
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Benjamin Bonzi
36th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#1
model rank
#94
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
FRA
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jannik SinnerBenjamin Bonzi
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay20
Hard20
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-22Madrid MastersClayR64Jannik Sinner6-7(6) 6-1 6-4
2023-02-13RotterdamHardR32Jannik Sinner6-2 3-6 6-1
2022-03-07Indian Wells MastersHardR32Jannik Sinner7-6(5) 3-6 6-4
2020-09-28Roland GarrosClayR64Jannik Sinner6-2 6-4 6-4