── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jannik Sinner 98% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jannik Sinner
Daniel Altmaier
98%2%
Hard: 98% / 2%
Clay: 93% / 7%
Grass: 98% / 2%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Daniel Altmaier
41th · average
Return
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Daniel Altmaier
33th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#1
model rank
#103
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
GER
191cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jannik SinnerDaniel Altmaier
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard30
Clay01
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-20ViennaHardR32Jannik Sinner6-0 6-2
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersHardR64Jannik Sinner6-3 6-3
2023-05-29Roland GarrosClayR64Daniel Altmaier6-7(0) 7-6(7) 1-6 7-6(4) 7-5
2022-08-29Us OpenHardR128Jannik Sinner5-7 6-2 6-1 3-6 6-1