── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jannik Sinner 96% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jannik Sinner
Tallon Griekspoor
96%4%
Hard: 95% / 5%
Clay: 94% / 6%
Grass: 85% / 15%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Tallon Griekspoor
84th · strong
Return
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Tallon Griekspoor
29th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#1
model rank
#52
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
NED
191cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jannik Sinner■ Tallon Griekspoor
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard5–1
Grass1–0
── 7 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R32 | Tallon Griekspoor | 6-7(3) 7-5 3-2 RET |
| 2024-11-24 | Davis Cup Finals F: ITA vs NED | Hard | RR | Jannik Sinner | 7-6(2) 6-2 |
| 2024-06-17 | Halle | Grass | R32 | Jannik Sinner | 6-7(8) 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R32 | Jannik Sinner | 5-7 7-5 6-1 |
| 2024-02-12 | Rotterdam | Hard | SF | Jannik Sinner | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2023-11-23 | Davis Cup Finals QF: ITA vs NED | Hard | RR | Jannik Sinner | 7-6(3) 6-1 |
| 2023-02-13 | Rotterdam | Hard | SF | Jannik Sinner | 7-5 7-6(5) |