── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jannik Sinner 98% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jannik Sinner
Corentin Moutet
98%2%
Hard: 97% / 3%
Clay: 94% / 6%
Grass: 96% / 4%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Corentin Moutet
24th · below avg
Return
Jannik Sinner
99th · elite
Corentin Moutet
89th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#1
model rank
#101
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
FRA
191cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jannik Sinner■ Corentin Moutet
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R32 | Jannik Sinner | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2024-05-27 | Roland Garros | Clay | R16 | Jannik Sinner | 2-6 6-3 6-2 6-1 |