── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jannik Sinner 98% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jannik Sinner
Hugo Gaston
98%2%
Hard: 97% / 3%
Clay: 97% / 3%
Grass: 97% / 3%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Hugo Gaston
6th · poor
Return
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Hugo Gaston
48th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#1
model rank
#138
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
FRA
191cm
height
173cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jannik Sinner■ Hugo Gaston
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Jannik Sinner | 6-2 6-1 0-0 RET |
| 2021-03-22 | Miami Masters | Hard | R64 | Jannik Sinner | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2021-03-08 | Marseille | Hard | R16 | Jannik Sinner | 6-4 6-1 |