── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jannik Sinner 92% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jannik Sinner
Francisco Cerundolo
92%8%
Hard: 93% / 7%
Clay: 84% / 16%
Grass: 97% / 3%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Francisco Cerundolo
64th · average
Return
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Francisco Cerundolo
97th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#1
model rank
#21
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ARG
191cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jannik Sinner■ Francisco Cerundolo
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–1
Clay1–1
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | Paris Masters | Hard | R16 | Jannik Sinner | 7-5 6-1 |
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | Clay | R16 | Jannik Sinner | 7-6(2) 6-3 |
| 2023-05-08 | Rome Masters | Clay | R16 | Francisco Cerundolo | 6-7(3) 6-2 6-2 |
| 2022-10-24 | Vienna | Hard | R16 | Jannik Sinner | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2022-09-16 | Davis Cup Finals RR: ITA vs ARG | Hard | RR | Jannik Sinner | 7-5 1-6 6-3 |
| 2022-03-21 | Miami Masters | Hard | QF | Francisco Cerundolo | 4-1 RET |