── the model's take · model grid · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jannik Sinner 91% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jannik Sinner
Lorenzo Musetti
91%9%
Hard: 92% / 8%
Clay: 77% / 23%
Grass: 85% / 15%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
Return
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#1
model rank
#12
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ITA
191cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jannik Sinner■ Lorenzo Musetti
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
Clay1–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | QF | Jannik Sinner | 6-1 6-4 6-2 |
| 2023-04-17 | Barcelona | Clay | QF | Lorenzo Musetti | W/O |
| 2023-04-10 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | QF | Jannik Sinner | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2021-10-18 | Antwerp | Hard | R16 | Jannik Sinner | 7-5 6-2 |