── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jannik Sinner 94% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jannik Sinner
Tomas Machac
94%6%
Hard: 95% / 5%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 94% / 6%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Tomas Machac
72th · strong
Return
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Tomas Machac
82th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#1
model rank
#35
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
CZE
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jannik Sinner■ Tomas Machac
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard3–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R16 | Jannik Sinner | 6-1 6-7(3) 6-3 |
| 2026-02-16 | Doha | Hard | R32 | Jannik Sinner | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2024-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | SF | Jannik Sinner | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2024-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | QF | Jannik Sinner | 6-4 6-2 |