── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jannik Sinner 93% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jannik Sinner
Flavio Cobolli
93%7%
Hard: 97% / 3%
Clay: 83% / 17%
Grass: 89% / 11%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Flavio Cobolli
48th · average
Return
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Flavio Cobolli
60th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#1
model rank
#25
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ITA
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jannik SinnerFlavio Cobolli
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-20ViennaHardR16Jannik Sinner6-2 7-6(4)