── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jannik Sinner 95% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jannik Sinner
Eliot Spizzirri
95%5%
Hard: 95% / 5%
Clay: 99% / 1%
Grass: 96% / 4%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Eliot Spizzirri
73th · strong
Return
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Eliot Spizzirri
89th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#1
model rank
#46
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
USA
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jannik SinnerEliot Spizzirri
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR32Jannik Sinner4-6 6-3 6-4 6-4