── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jannik Sinner 99% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jannik Sinner
Shintaro Mochizuki
99%1%
Hard: 99% / 1%
Clay: 98% / 2%
Grass: 91% / 9%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Shintaro Mochizuki
0th · poor
Return
Jannik Sinner
99th · elite
Shintaro Mochizuki
85th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#1
model rank
#167
Hard
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
JPN
191cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jannik Sinner■ Shintaro Mochizuki
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Wimbledon | Grass | R16 | Jannik Sinner | 6-3 7-6(0) 6-3 |