── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jannik Sinner 97% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jannik Sinner
Gabriel Diallo
97%3%
Hard: 97% / 3%
Clay: 96% / 4%
Grass: 88% / 12%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Gabriel Diallo
69th · average
Return
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Gabriel Diallo
38th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#1
model rank
#93
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
CAN
191cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jannik Sinner■ Gabriel Diallo
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Jannik Sinner | 6-2 7-6(6) |