── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jannik Sinner 94% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jannik Sinner
Luciano Darderi
94%6%
Hard: 99% / 1%
Clay: 82% / 18%
Grass: 97% / 3%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Luciano Darderi
62th · average
Return
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Luciano Darderi
74th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#1
model rank
#37
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ITA
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jannik Sinner■ Luciano Darderi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R16 | Jannik Sinner | 6-1 6-3 7-6(2) |