── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jannik Sinner 98% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jannik Sinner
Terence Atmane
98%2%
Hard: 97% / 3%
Clay: 97% / 3%
Grass: 98% / 2%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Terence Atmane
67th · average
Return
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Terence Atmane
14th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#1
model rank
#107
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
FRA
191cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jannik SinnerTerence Atmane
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-25BeijingHardR16Jannik Sinner6-4 5-7 6-0
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersHardSFJannik Sinner7-6(4) 6-2