── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jannik Sinner 93% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jannik Sinner
Alex Michelsen
93%7%
Hard: 91% / 9%
Clay: 96% / 4%
Grass: 94% / 6%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Alex Michelsen
72th · strong
Return
Jannik Sinner
99th · elite
Alex Michelsen
88th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#1
model rank
#24
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
USA
191cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jannik Sinner■ Alex Michelsen
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R16 | Jannik Sinner | 7-5 7-6(4) |
| 2024-08-26 | Us Open | Hard | R64 | Jannik Sinner | 6-4 6-0 6-2 |
| 2024-08-12 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Jannik Sinner | 6-4 7-5 |