── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jannik Sinner 93% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jannik Sinner
Learner Tien
93%7%
Hard: 93% / 7%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 97% / 3%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Learner Tien
63th · average
Return
Jannik Sinner
99th · elite
Learner Tien
95th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#1
model rank
#19
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
USA
191cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jannik Sinner■ Learner Tien
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | QF | Jannik Sinner | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2025-09-25 | Beijing | Hard | F | Jannik Sinner | 6-2 6-2 |