── the model's take · model grid · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jannik Sinner 92% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jannik Sinner
Rafael Jodar
92%8%
Hard: 95% / 5%
Clay: 77% / 23%
Grass: 97% / 3%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Rafael Jodar
76th · strong
Return
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Rafael Jodar
96th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#1
model rank
#6
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
—
ITA
country
ESP
191cm
height
—
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jannik Sinner■ Rafael Jodar
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | QF | Jannik Sinner | 6-2 7-6(0) |