── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Daniel Merida Aguilar
23%77%
Hard: 30% / 70%
Clay: 24% / 76%
Grass: 39% / 61%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Aleksandar Kovacevic
61th · average
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Return
Aleksandar Kovacevic
2th · poor
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#124
model rank
#31
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ESP
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Aleksandar Kovacevic■ Daniel Merida Aguilar
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | Valencia CH | Clay | R32 | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 6-3 5-7 6-2 |