── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Fabian Marozsan 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Fabian Marozsan
Alex Bolt
72%28%
Hard: 73% / 27%
Clay: 93% / 7%
Grass: 39% / 61%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Fabian Marozsan
64th · average
Alex Bolt
28th · below avg
Return
Fabian Marozsan
48th · average
Alex Bolt
2th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#79
model rank
#172
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
HUN
country
AUS
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Fabian Marozsan■ Alex Bolt
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-09-24HangzhouHardR32Fabian Marozsan6-4 6-2