── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Andrey Rublev 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Fabian Marozsan
Andrey Rublev
29%71%
Hard: 41% / 59%
Clay: 22% / 78%
Grass: 13% / 87%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Fabian Marozsan
71th · strong
Andrey Rublev
84th · strong
Return
Fabian Marozsan
61th · average
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#68
model rank
#19
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
HUN
country
RUS
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Fabian MarozsanAndrey Rublev
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard12
Clay11
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-16DohaHardR16Andrey Rublev6-2 6-4
2025-05-07Rome MastersClayR64Fabian Marozsan7-5 4-6 6-3
2025-02-03RotterdamHardR16Andrey Rublev7-6(2) 7-6(7)
2024-12-30Hong KongHardR16Fabian Marozsan7-5 3-6 6-3
2024-07-22UmagClayQFAndrey Rublev5-7 6-3 6-2