── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Casper Ruud 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Fabian Marozsan
Casper Ruud
28%72%
Hard: 41% / 59%
Clay: 15% / 85%
Grass: 61% / 39%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Fabian Marozsan
63th · average
Casper Ruud
92th · elite
Return
Fabian Marozsan
47th · average
Casper Ruud
93th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#79
model rank
#23
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
HUN
country
NOR
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Fabian Marozsan■ Casper Ruud
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard2–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-12AucklandHardR16Fabian Marozsan6-4 6-4
2023-10-02Shanghai MastersHardR16Fabian Marozsan7-6(3) 3-6 6-4