── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Casper Ruud 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Fabian Marozsan
Casper Ruud
23%77%
Hard: 45% / 55%
Clay: 14% / 86%
Grass: 43% / 57%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Fabian Marozsan
71th · strong
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Return
Fabian Marozsan
61th · average
Casper Ruud
94th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#68
model rank
#11
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
HUN
country
NOR
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Fabian MarozsanCasper Ruud
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-12AucklandHardR16Fabian Marozsan6-4 6-4
2023-10-02Shanghai MastersHardR16Fabian Marozsan7-6(3) 3-6 6-4