── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Carlos Alcaraz 95% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Fabian Marozsan
Carlos Alcaraz
5%95%
Hard: 9% / 91%
Clay: 6% / 94%
Grass: 2% / 98%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Fabian Marozsan
71th · strong
Carlos Alcaraz
98th · elite
Return
Fabian Marozsan
61th · average
Carlos Alcaraz
99th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#68
model rank
#2
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
HUN
country
ESP
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Fabian Marozsan■ Carlos Alcaraz
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
Hard0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R64 | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-1 4-6 6-1 6-2 |
| 2024-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R16 | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2023-05-08 | Rome Masters | Clay | R32 | Fabian Marozsan | 6-3 7-6(4) |