── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Fabian Marozsan 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Fabian Marozsan
Luca Nardi
73%27%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 78% / 22%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Fabian Marozsan
63th · average
Luca Nardi
9th · poor
Return
Fabian Marozsan
47th · average
Luca Nardi
33th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#79
model rank
#175
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
HUN
country
ITA
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Fabian Marozsan■ Luca Nardi
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard2–0
Clay2–0
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-13AlmatyHardR32Fabian Marozsan7-6(3) 6-3
2025-05-26Roland GarrosClayR128Fabian Marozsan6-2 6-3 7-6(3)
2024-09-18HangzhouHardR32Fabian Marozsan6-0 6-2
2023-05-01Cagliari CHClayR32Fabian Marozsan6-3 4-6 6-4