── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Fabian Marozsan
Joao Fonseca
25%75%
Hard: 21% / 79%
Clay: 25% / 75%
Grass: 42% / 58%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Fabian Marozsan
63th · average
Joao Fonseca
83th · strong
Return
Fabian Marozsan
47th · average
Joao Fonseca
88th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#79
model rank
#15
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
HUN
country
BRA
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Fabian Marozsan■ Joao Fonseca
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–1
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R128 | Joao Fonseca | 6-4 3-6 6-2 |
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | Clay | R128 | Fabian Marozsan | 6-3 7-6(4) |