── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Brandon Nakashima 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Brandon Nakashima
Martin Damm
69%31%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 86% / 14%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Martin Damm
82th · strong
Return
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average
Martin Damm
2th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#42
model rank
#109
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
USA
188cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Brandon NakashimaMartin Damm
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-30HoustonClayR32Brandon Nakashima7-6(0) 6-2