── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Brandon Nakashima 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Brandon Nakashima
Roberto Bautista Agut
81%19%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 67% / 33%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Roberto Bautista Agut
37th · below avg
Return
Brandon Nakashima
69th · average
Roberto Bautista Agut
66th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#18
model rank
#130
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ESP
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Brandon Nakashima■ Roberto Bautista Agut
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–1
Grass0–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Brandon Nakashima | 6-2 7-5 6-2 |
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Brandon Nakashima | 6-4 6-0 |
| 2025-04-07 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R64 | Roberto Bautista Agut | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2023-06-19 | Halle | Grass | R16 | Roberto Bautista Agut | 7-5 7-6(2) |