── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Brandon Nakashima 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Brandon Nakashima
Daniel Evans
84%16%
Hard: 83% / 17%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 66% / 34%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Daniel Evans
6th · poor
Return
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average
Daniel Evans
30th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#42
model rank
#171
Hard
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
GBR
188cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Brandon Nakashima■ Daniel Evans
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass2–0
Clay1–0
Hard1–1
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-16 | Queen's Club | Grass | R16 | Brandon Nakashima | 7-5 7-6(4) |
| 2024-06-17 | Queen's Club | Grass | R32 | Brandon Nakashima | 4-6 6-3 0-0 RET |
| 2024-04-15 | Barcelona | Clay | R64 | Brandon Nakashima | 7-6(5) 6-2 |
| 2022-10-31 | Paris Masters | Hard | R64 | Daniel Evans | 6-3 3-6 6-4 |
| 2021-08-02 | Washington | Hard | R32 | Brandon Nakashima | 7-6(1) 6-0 |