── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Brandon Nakashima 86% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Brandon Nakashima
David Goffin
86%14%
Hard: 83% / 17%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 66% / 34%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
David Goffin
8th · poor
Return
Brandon Nakashima
68th · average
David Goffin
72th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#17
model rank
#152
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
BEL
188cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Brandon Nakashima■ David Goffin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard4–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-19 | Miami Masters | Hard | R32 | Brandon Nakashima | 6-3 6-7(5) 6-3 |
| 2025-02-24 | Acapulco | Hard | QF | Brandon Nakashima | 7-6(4) 6-2 |
| 2023-11-13 | Danderyd CH | Hard | QF | Brandon Nakashima | 6-2 7-6(2) |
| 2022-10-24 | Basel | Hard | R32 | Brandon Nakashima | 2-6 7-6(4) 6-4 |