── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Brandon Nakashima 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Brandon Nakashima
Grigor Dimitrov
65%35%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 45% / 55%
Grass: 49% / 51%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Grigor Dimitrov
86th · strong
Return
Brandon Nakashima
68th · average
Grigor Dimitrov
71th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#17
model rank
#52
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
BUL
188cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Brandon Nakashima■ Grigor Dimitrov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Clay0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-19 | Miami Masters | Hard | R16 | Grigor Dimitrov | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2022-08-29 | Us Open | Hard | R64 | Brandon Nakashima | 7-6(5) 7-5 6-3 |
| 2022-05-09 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Grigor Dimitrov | 6-3 6-4 |