── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Brandon Nakashima 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Brandon Nakashima
Marcos Giron
59%41%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 59% / 41%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Marcos Giron
62th · average
Return
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average
Marcos Giron
71th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#42
model rank
#65
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
188cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Brandon Nakashima■ Marcos Giron
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-02 | Athens | Hard | R16 | Marcos Giron | 7-6(7) 6-1 |
| 2025-09-17 | Chengdu | Hard | QF | Brandon Nakashima | 6-3 2-6 7-6(3) |
| 2022-09-19 | San Diego | Hard | F | Brandon Nakashima | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2020-03-02 | Indian Wells CH | Hard | QF | Brandon Nakashima | 7-6(2) 3-6 6-2 |