── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Brandon Nakashima 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Brandon Nakashima
Maximilian Marterer
84%16%
Hard: 84% / 16%
Clay: 69% / 31%
Grass: 88% / 12%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Maximilian Marterer
19th · poor
Return
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average
Maximilian Marterer
8th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#42
model rank
#173
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
GER
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Brandon Nakashima■ Maximilian Marterer
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-14 | Davis Cup Finals RR: GER vs USA | Hard | RR | Brandon Nakashima | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2023-11-13 | Danderyd CH | Hard | F | Maximilian Marterer | 2-6 6-4 6-3 |
| 2021-01-31 | Quimper 2 CH | Hard | QF | Brandon Nakashima | 6-7(1) 6-2 6-4 |

