── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Cameron Norrie a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Brandon Nakashima
Cameron Norrie
47%53%
Hard: 50% / 50%
Clay: 34% / 66%
Grass: 52% / 48%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Cameron Norrie
64th · average
Return
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average
Cameron Norrie
70th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#42
model rank
#36
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
GBR
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Brandon NakashimaCameron Norrie
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard22
Grass01
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-21WashingtonHardR16Brandon Nakashima7-6(3) 6-3
2022-08-08Canada MastersHardR64Cameron Norrie6-4 6-4
2022-06-20EastbourneGrassR16Cameron Norrie6-4 6-2
2021-07-19Los CabosHardFCameron Norrie6-2 6-2
2020-02-17Delray BeachHardR16Brandon Nakashima7-5 6-2