── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Brandon Nakashima 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Brandon Nakashima
Alexandre Muller
74%26%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 58% / 42%
Grass: 89% / 11%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Alexandre Muller
27th · below avg
Return
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average
Alexandre Muller
37th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#42
model rank
#133
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
FRA
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Brandon NakashimaAlexandre Muller
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard21
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-27Paris MastersHardR64Alexandre Muller6-2 7-5
2024-01-01Canberra CHHardR32Brandon Nakashima5-7 7-6(7) 7-6(5)
2021-10-25Brest CHHardSFBrandon Nakashima6-2 7-5