── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Brandon Nakashima 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Brandon Nakashima
Alexandre Muller
84%16%
Hard: 81% / 19%
Clay: 60% / 40%
Grass: 91% / 9%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Alexandre Muller
23th · below avg
Return
Brandon Nakashima
68th · average
Alexandre Muller
19th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#17
model rank
#148
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
FRA
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Brandon Nakashima■ Alexandre Muller
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | Paris Masters | Hard | R64 | Alexandre Muller | 6-2 7-5 |
| 2024-01-01 | Canberra CH | Hard | R32 | Brandon Nakashima | 5-7 7-6(7) 7-6(5) |
| 2021-10-25 | Brest CH | Hard | SF | Brandon Nakashima | 6-2 7-5 |