── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Brandon Nakashima 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Brandon Nakashima
Reilly Opelka
77%23%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 68% / 32%
Grass: 81% / 19%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Reilly Opelka
97th · elite
Return
Brandon Nakashima
68th · average
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#17
model rank
#100
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
188cm
height
211cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Brandon Nakashima■ Reilly Opelka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard1–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | R64 | Brandon Nakashima | 7-5 6-2 6-7(6) 6-3 |
| 2025-02-10 | Delray Beach | Hard | R16 | Brandon Nakashima | 3-6 7-5 6-2 |
| 2022-01-10 | Sydney | Hard | QF | Reilly Opelka | 7-6(4) 6-2 |