── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Taylor Fritz 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Brandon Nakashima
Taylor Fritz
35%65%
Hard: 33% / 67%
Clay: 44% / 56%
Grass: 29% / 71%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Taylor Fritz
97th · elite
Return
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average
Taylor Fritz
76th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#42
model rank
#15
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
188cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Brandon NakashimaTaylor Fritz
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard12
Grass01
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-09DallasHardR16Taylor Fritz6-3 6-4
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersHardR64Brandon Nakashima6-4 4-6 7-6(4)
2021-10-04Indian Wells MastersHardR64Taylor Fritz6-3 6-4
2021-06-28WimbledonGrassR128Taylor Fritz7-5 3-6 6-4 7-5