── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alejandro Tabilo a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Brandon Nakashima
Alejandro Tabilo
45%55%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 34% / 66%
Grass: 68% / 32%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Return
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average
Alejandro Tabilo
59th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#42
model rank
#30
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
CHI
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Brandon Nakashima■ Alejandro Tabilo
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-17 | Chengdu | Hard | SF | Alejandro Tabilo | 6-4 7-6(0) |
| 2024-09-11 | Davis Cup Finals RR: USA vs CHI | Hard | RR | Brandon Nakashima | 7-6(5) 2-6 7-6(3) |
| 2024-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R128 | Alejandro Tabilo | 6-4 3-6 6-3 |